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The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −865.81₴

Invest at least 1 603.66₴

Average return 737.86₴

ROI −54.0%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 603.66 ₴, profit at most −865.81 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

35.69 ₴

at 35.69

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

153.78 ₴

at 51.26

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

469.73 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 659.20 ₴ +78.65 (+11.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

71.38 ₴

at 35.69

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

153.78 ₴

at 51.26

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

391.45 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 616.60 ₴ +57.76 (+9.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

35.35 ₴

at 35.35

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

71.38 ₴

at 35.69

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

153.78 ₴

at 51.26

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

313.16 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 573.66 ₴ +37.20 (+6.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

25.90 ₴

at 25.90

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

107.07 ₴

at 35.69

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

153.78 ₴

at 51.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

234.87 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 521.61 ₴ +25.75 (+4.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.043676

400.76 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

605.00 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 390.02 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

290.44 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.051470

220.76 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

194.58 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.030882

180.72 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

169.31 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Falchion Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −19.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +49.90 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2521152 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 85.59₴ · invest 652.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161904 instead of 0.163165; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074140 instead of 0.074579
Craft 2543305 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 83.65₴ · invest 660.35₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161936 instead of 0.163165; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074151 instead of 0.074579
Craft 2543153 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 81.73₴ · invest 651.99₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 2530641 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 79.73₴ · invest 646.84₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163322 instead of 0.163165; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074633 instead of 0.074579
Craft 2524267 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 79.72₴ · invest 653.03₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163214 instead of 0.163165; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074596 instead of 0.074579
Craft 2541693 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 79.70₴ · invest 648.26₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163362 instead of 0.163165; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074647 instead of 0.074579

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build