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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1.59$

Invest 60.18$

Average return 61.77$

ROI +2.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 156.07 $, profit at most −94.30 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4801

4.72 $

at 4.72

Steam

×9

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4974

55.47 $

at 6.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.18 $ +1.59 (+2.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.507692

67.31 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.406153

80.04 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

50.06 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.253846

44.48 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Falchion Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.78 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2527395 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1.75$ · invest 59.15$
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.544674 instead of 0.497411
Craft 2526903 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1.73$ · invest 59.27$
XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.559651 instead of 0.497411
Craft 2525801 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1.72$ · invest 59.58$
P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.562499 instead of 0.497411
Craft 2527561 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1.71$ · invest 58.90$
rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486964 instead of 0.497411
Craft 2524723 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1.69$ · invest 60.18$
rare inputs

AK-47 | Asiimov: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.515777 instead of 0.480171; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.553364 instead of 0.497411
Craft 2526935 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1.63$ · invest 59.78$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.534575 instead of 0.497411
Craft 2526936 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1.58$ · invest 59.78$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.580926 instead of 0.497411

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build