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The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +66.66₴

Invest 446.39₴

Average return 513.06₴

ROI +14.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 104.78 ₴, profit at most −591.72 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1734

25.74 ₴

at 25.74

Steam

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3871

69.08 ₴

at 34.54

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1734

351.57 ₴

at 50.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 446.39 ₴ +66.66 (+14.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

25.74 ₴

at 25.74

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

26.81 ₴

at 26.81

Steam

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

69.08 ₴

at 34.54

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

301.35 ₴

at 50.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 422.98 ₴ +64.88 (+15.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

25.74 ₴

at 25.74

Steam

×6

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

160.86 ₴

at 26.81

Steam

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

150.67 ₴

at 50.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 337.27 ₴ +24.57 (+7.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

51.47 ₴

at 25.74

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

53.62 ₴

at 26.81

Steam

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

34.54 ₴

at 34.54

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

251.12 ₴

at 50.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 390.76 ₴ +46.69 (+11.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

348.73 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

1 058.08 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

450.20 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

400.95 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

330.29 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

256.24 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −15.69 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +43.36 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528667 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 70.90₴ · invest 472.96₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387132; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.173434
Craft 2528801 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 69.12₴ · invest 481.19₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384952 instead of 0.387132; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166272 instead of 0.173434
Craft 2528955 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 68.44₴ · invest 524.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383828 instead of 0.387132; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162580 instead of 0.173434
Craft 2528244 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 67.64₴ · invest 483.68₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387132; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.173434
Craft 2526840 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 66.51₴ · invest 448.00₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387132; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.173434
Craft 2528802 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 66.18₴ · invest 492.36₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383972 instead of 0.387132; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163052 instead of 0.173434
Craft 2523350 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 65.99₴ · invest 442.50₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388109 instead of 0.387132; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176645 instead of 0.173434
Craft 2528540 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 65.39₴ · invest 451.00₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Acid Etched (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387132; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.173434

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build