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The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +12.60$

Invest 19.19$

Average return 31.78$

ROI +65.7%

Chance of profit 63%

With float: invest at least 49.34 $, profit at most −17.55 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2.39 $

at 2.39

Steam

×9

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

16.79 $

at 1.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.19 $ +12.60 (+65.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 37%

in profit

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.044099

28.55 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Desolate Space

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73.32 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

14.46 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

27.27 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

13.14 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

9.02 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2532829 · The Gamma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 12.60$ · invest 20.82$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2529989 · The Fracture Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 12.48$ · invest 18.75$
rare inputs

Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2522611 · The Chroma Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 12.34$ · invest 21.81$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2533111 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 11.98$ · invest 20.78$
rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075456 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build