to all crafts

The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +273.40$

Invest 467.43$

Average return 740.83$

ROI +58.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 1 145.71 $, profit at most −404.88 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −336.67 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

22.02 $

at 22.02

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

79.31 $

at 26.44

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

366.10 $

at 61.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 467.43 $ +273.40 (+58.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

44.04 $

at 22.02

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

79.31 $

at 26.44

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

305.08 $

at 61.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 428.43 $ +272.13 (+63.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

66.05 $

at 22.02

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

79.31 $

at 26.44

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

244.07 $

at 61.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 389.43 $ +270.86 (+69.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

88.07 $

at 22.02

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

79.31 $

at 26.44

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

183.05 $

at 61.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 350.43 $ +269.59 (+76.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

110.09 $

at 22.02

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

79.31 $

at 26.44

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

122.03 $

at 61.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 311.44 $ +268.32 (+86.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 383.39 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

237.45 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

777.59 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

92.78 $ 5.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) × 1 12% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 22.02 → 47.56 $

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 3 12% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 79.31 → 179.25 $

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) × 6 12% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 366.10 → 918.91 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.030769131

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.018461, 0.069999, 0.015384

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +249.79 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +267.27 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2543712 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 285.11$ · invest 475.32$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074512 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003948 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2540642 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 275.97$ · invest 453.19$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075622 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004919 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2542032 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 270.44$ · invest 456.46$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076797 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.005947 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2528868 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 263.35$ · invest 472.67$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078893 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007781 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2519134 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 260.89$ · invest 461.52$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079359 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2538207 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.72$ · invest 533.45$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074354 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003810 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2541346 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.19$ · invest 460.11$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2522270 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 257.76$ · invest 470.99$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080407 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009106 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2530650 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 257.37$ · invest 457.42$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)
Craft 2523150 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 257.27$ · invest 488.19$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080062 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008804 instead of 0.008547

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build