to all crafts

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +6.07$

Invest 4.49$

Average return 10.56$

ROI +135.1%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 11.65 $, profit at most −1.09 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

4.14 $

at 0.46

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

0.35 $

at 0.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.49 $ +6.07 (+135.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

0.23 $

at 0.23

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.76 $

at 0.46

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.18 $

at 0.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

0.69 $

at 0.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.87 $ +4.98 (+128.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

0.23 $

at 0.23

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.30 $

at 0.46

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.37 $

at 0.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

0.69 $

at 0.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.59 $ +4.41 (+122.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 2%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.35 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.41 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.98 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10.77 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.08 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

1.78 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.73 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4.62 $ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

5.28 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1.22 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.14 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.83 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 22 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2525984 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 6.37$ · invest 4.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526559 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 6.22$ · invest 5.27$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2524655 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 6.19$ · invest 4.47$
outcome without sales

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526274 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.19$ · invest 5.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2521353 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 6.16$ · invest 5.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2520315 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 6.15$ · invest 4.80$
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526038 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 6.12$ · invest 5.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526147 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 6.11$ · invest 4.61$
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2525877 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 6.03$ · invest 4.66$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526305 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 6.00$ · invest 5.02$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526503 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5.98$ · invest 5.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2522427 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 5.97$ · invest 5.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526094 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 5.95$ · invest 5.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2518284 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 5.94$ · invest 4.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526623 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 5.92$ · invest 4.96$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074869 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2523262 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 5.91$ · invest 4.80$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526425 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 5.91$ · invest 4.69$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076915 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2525958 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 5.86$ · invest 5.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526586 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 5.85$ · invest 4.78$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526386 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 5.81$ · invest 4.82$
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2526332 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.80$ · invest 5.68$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076644
Craft 2517359 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 5.79$ · invest 4.94$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076644

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build