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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +8.74$

Invest 50.18$

Average return 58.91$

ROI +17.4%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 120.30 $, profit at most −61.38 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×7

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4850

28.79 $

at 4.11

Steam

×2

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

13.71 $

at 6.86

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

7.67 $

at 7.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.18 $ +8.74 (+17.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 35%

about break-even

worst

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

57.90 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

71.02 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

75.63 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

75.23 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.58 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526448 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 8.28$ · invest 39.95$
P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn), P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): 6 pcs instead of 7; P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.485079
Craft 2525869 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 7.52$ · invest 45.58$
P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn), UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): 6 pcs instead of 7; P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.485079

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build