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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −1 054.84₸

Invest at least 3 120.29₸

Average return 2 065.50₸

ROI −33.8%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 3 120.29 ₸, profit at most −1 054.84 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

730.40 ₸

at 104.34

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

416.08 ₸

at 208.04

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

156.60 ₸

at 156.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 303.08 ₸ +762.42 (+58.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −896 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

208.04 ₸

at 208.04

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

782.98 ₸

at 156.60

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1 642.16 ₸

at 410.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 633.18 ₸ +87.45 (+3.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

104.34 ₸

at 104.34

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

832.16 ₸

at 208.04

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

782.98 ₸

at 156.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 719.49 ₸ +673.58 (+39.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

832.16 ₸

at 208.04

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

782.98 ₸

at 156.60

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

254.43 ₸

at 254.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 869.57 ₸ +605.40 (+32.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

417.37 ₸

at 104.34

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

624.12 ₸

at 208.04

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

469.79 ₸

at 156.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 511.28 ₸ +717.97 (+47.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 18%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 895.24 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 625.90 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 019.40 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 513.81 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 351.24 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

5 399.22 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 858.33 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092999

2 166.67 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

2 467.49 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +508.96 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +712.86 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526538 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 749.40₸ · invest 1 504.66₸
outcome without sales rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested)
Craft 2526276 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 731.11₸ · invest 1 399.46₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168318 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076371 instead of 0.074763
Craft 2526189 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 729.33₸ · invest 1 532.65₸
outcome without sales rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested)
Craft 2526019 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 718.98₸ · invest 1 264.87₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.074763
Craft 2525917 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 703.54₸ · invest 1 317.99₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.074763
Craft 2526560 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 699.02₸ · invest 1 329.93₸
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166275 instead of 0.163693; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075660 instead of 0.074763

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build