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The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +1 383.31₽

Invest 7 031.16₽

Average return 8 414.47₽

ROI +19.7%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 17 034.07 ₽, profit at most −8 619.60 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

4 294.80 ₽

at 536.85

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

925.19 ₽

at 925.19

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

1 811.17 ₽

at 1 811.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 031.16 ₽ +1 383.31 (+19.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

3 757.95 ₽

at 536.85

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 679.46 ₽

at 1 679.46

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

3 622.34 ₽

at 1 811.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 059.75 ₽ +30.30 (+0.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 5%

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 337.92 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 238.45 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.302999

17 907.64 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

8 437.89 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +363.59 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 044.69 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2517375 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1 458.75₽ · invest 7 365.90₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163885 instead of 0.168399; P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074829 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2526060 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 1 451.16₽ · invest 8 115.74₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165509 instead of 0.168399; P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075394 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2526666 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 318.17₽ · invest 7 462.46₽
sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.168399; P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build