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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +248.67₸

Invest 30 794.74₸

Average return 31 043.41₸

ROI +0.8%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 78 294.15 ₸, profit at most −47 250.74 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5404

25 058.54 ₸

at 2 784.28

Steam

×1

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4795

5 736.19 ₸

at 5 736.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30 794.74 ₸ +248.67 (+0.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

30 410.19 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

36 160.86 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303749

60 628.91 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

54 229.80 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Falchion Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3 059.43 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −978.53 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526846 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 244.50₸ · invest 27 080.73₸
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) instead of P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.580926 instead of 0.540415
Craft 2527594 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 236.26₸ · invest 30 085.27₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred) instead of P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.542857 instead of 0.540415

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build