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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.18$

Invest 4.31$

Average return 6.49$

ROI +50.6%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 11.21 $, profit at most −4.72 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

0.26 $

at 0.26

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4.05 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.31 $ +2.18 (+50.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.13 $

at 0.13

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

0.51 $

at 0.26

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

0.22 $

at 0.22

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

2.70 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.56 $ +1.73 (+48.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.16 $

at 0.16

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

0.77 $

at 0.26

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.44 $

at 0.22

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.80 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.17 $ +1.53 (+48.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.31 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.97 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.066999

1.44 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

0.96 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.77 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075999

1.06 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

1.25 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.80 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2535107 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2.15$ · invest 4.44$
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2534892 · The Harlequin Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.14$ · invest 4.33$
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077087 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2532495 · The Gamma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.12$ · invest 4.57$
P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075167 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2535113 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2.12$ · invest 4.56$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2530074 · The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.10$ · invest 4.35$
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2525012 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.08$ · invest 4.49$
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075454 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2534959 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 2.08$ · invest 4.66$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2510466 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.08$ · invest 4.74$
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077040 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2535097 · The Harlequin Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 2.07$ · invest 4.53$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2523602 · The Clutch Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.06$ · invest 4.44$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2535031 · The Harlequin Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2.06$ · invest 4.43$
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2534868 · The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2.04$ · invest 4.96$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2535040 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2.04$ · invest 4.42$
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077153 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2521657 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.04$ · invest 4.61$
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2528317 · The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.03$ · invest 4.74$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2517588 · The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.01$ · invest 4.63$
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.076948
Craft 2534990 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 1.99$ · invest 4.55$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075044 instead of 0.076948

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build