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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +0.69$

Invest 1.69$

Average return 2.38$

ROI +41.2%

Chance of profit 42%

With float: invest at least 4.28 $, profit at most −1.90 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

0.10 $

at 0.10

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.48 $

at 0.18

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

0.11 $

at 0.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.69 $ +0.69 (+41.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 56%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.061710

1.78 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

0.98 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.064473

4.62 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.28 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

1.22 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

1.85 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.059868

2.65 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.064473

2.52 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

1.72 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.064473

3.22 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Falchion Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.35 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.58 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526953 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 0.73$ · invest 1.79$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested)
Craft 2518321 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 0.73$ · invest 1.81$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested)
Craft 2523301 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 0.72$ · invest 1.71$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested)
Craft 2526856 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.72$ · invest 1.69$
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested)
Craft 2527137 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 0.72$ · invest 1.69$
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested)
Craft 2527413 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 0.70$ · invest 1.68$
StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build