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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +15.09$

Invest 55.78$

Average return 70.87$

ROI +27.1%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 136.53 $, profit at most −65.65 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

6.39 $

at 6.39

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

9.46 $

at 4.73

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

39.93 $

at 5.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.78 $ +15.09 (+27.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

35.16 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

130.04 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

64.61 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141176

78.68 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 only The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.51 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.19 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2541061 · The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 16.59$ · invest 52.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)
Craft 2539952 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 16.58$ · invest 56.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)
Craft 2530381 · The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 15.03$ · invest 56.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163847 instead of 0.162538; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163847 instead of 0.162538
Craft 2532085 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 14.95$ · invest 61.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build