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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +2.66$

Invest 43.18$

Average return 45.84$

ROI +6.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 110.57 $, profit at most −64.72 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

6.39 $

at 6.39

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4818

36.79 $

at 4.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.18 $ +2.66 (+6.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Field-Tested

float up to 0.314999

26.13 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Well-Worn

float up to 0.382499

75.26 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

68.49 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.359999

73.38 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 only The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.98 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2529511 · The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2.44$ · invest 41.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.529411 instead of 0.481853
Craft 2530383 · The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2.43$ · invest 41.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.490665 instead of 0.481853
Craft 2530384 · The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2.43$ · invest 41.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.545982 instead of 0.481853
Craft 2541214 · The Recoil Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 40.63$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.525094 instead of 0.481853

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build