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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1.76$

Invest 4.28$

Average return 6.04$

ROI +41.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 11.15 $, profit at most −5.10 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

0.26 $

at 0.26

Steam

×9

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

4.03 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.28 $ +1.76 (+41.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.36 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.75 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Smart Gun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6.75 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.100499

0.75 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.96 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

0.94 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113999

1.06 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

0.66 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.11 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.65 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2521123 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.84$ · invest 4.36$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163424 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2506013 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.81$ · invest 4.75$
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161714 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2516464 · The Boreal Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.77$ · invest 4.41$
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165777 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2537103 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.73$ · invest 4.31$
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165896 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2539736 · The Phoenix Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.73$ · invest 4.62$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162786 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2530603 · The Fracture Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.72$ · invest 4.33$
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165898 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2539184 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.70$ · invest 4.64$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2543117 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.68$ · invest 4.42$
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2542953 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.67$ · invest 4.51$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2533001 · The Gamma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.67$ · invest 4.55$
P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163032 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2540928 · The Radiant Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.67$ · invest 4.72$
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.165733
Craft 2522226 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.65$ · invest 4.59$
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.165733

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build