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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +423.53₴

Invest 355.17₴

Average return 778.70₴

ROI +119.2%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 867.03 ₴, profit at most −88.33 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

186.53 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

168.64 ₴

at 42.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 355.17 ₴ +423.53 (+119.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 12%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

276.31 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

875.07 ₴ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

388.29 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

245.55 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

50.22 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 101.40 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

360.23 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 160.27 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

340.81 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

1 477.84 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +277.59 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +349.76 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2533858 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 454.46₴ · invest 414.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2531766 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 444.76₴ · invest 403.01₴
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2533999 · The Glove Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 444.57₴ · invest 333.30₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2534092 · The Glove Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 428.13₴ · invest 354.98₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2521625 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 425.17₴ · invest 320.68₴
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2534168 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 421.62₴ · invest 348.22₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2534212 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 408.94₴ · invest 426.88₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2534349 · The Glove Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 405.70₴ · invest 388.53₴
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2514735 · The Ascent Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 404.69₴ · invest 409.61₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2522654 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 398.40₴ · invest 435.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2532463 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 397.95₴ · invest 317.11₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2510431 · The Achroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 397.09₴ · invest 355.17₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164685 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2534068 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 392.65₴ · invest 477.65₴
FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2534019 · The Glove Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 391.28₴ · invest 367.46₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2533850 · The Glove Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 379.13₴ · invest 399.28₴
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2518546 · The CS20 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 359.79₴ · invest 374.19₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164398 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2517563 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 359.31₴ · invest 323.93₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2530836 · The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 356.95₴ · invest 382.55₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165153 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2524975 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 345.34₴ · invest 315.42₴
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162287 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build