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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +6.77₴

Invest 388.39₴

Average return 395.16₴

ROI +1.7%

Chance of profit 14%

With float: invest at least 963.34 ₴, profit at most −568.19 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

93.26 ₴

at 31.09

Steam

×7

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

295.12 ₴

at 42.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 388.39 ₴ +6.77 (+1.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 14%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 14%

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

271.53 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081666

268.89 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Flashback

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

438.58 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

340.81 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

1 477.84 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

276.31 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

85.55 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

388.29 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

245.55 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

50.22 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −83.91 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −29.84 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build