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The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −2 425.94₸

Invest at least 5 487.47₸

Average return 3 061.47₸

ROI −44.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 5 487.47 ₸, profit at most −2 425.94 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

312.01 ₸

at 312.01

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

1 830.23 ₸

at 203.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 142.24 ₸ +919.23 (+42.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

745.20 ₸

at 248.40

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

312.01 ₸

at 312.01

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

99.93 ₸

at 99.93

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1 016.80 ₸

at 203.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 173.94 ₸ +475.60 (+21.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1 490.40 ₸

at 248.40

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

99.93 ₸

at 99.93

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

610.08 ₸

at 203.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 200.41 ₸ +174.46 (+7.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 94%
Losing outcome 4%
About break-even 2%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 755.45 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 601.81 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

2 773.14 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

858.64 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.051999

3 896.97 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

2 464.42 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.190999

504.07 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +556.43 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +734.01 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2527073 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 984.03₸ · invest 1 945.77₸
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076948 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2535107 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 970.34₸ · invest 2 006.90₸
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2534892 · The Harlequin Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 968.04₸ · invest 1 955.67₸
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077087 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2532495 · The Gamma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 959.38₸ · invest 2 064.16₸
P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075167 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2535113 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 958.84₸ · invest 2 061.31₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2530074 · The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 949.67₸ · invest 1 965.36₸
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2525012 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 941.40₸ · invest 2 029.34₸
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075454 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2534959 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 940.16₸ · invest 2 105.65₸
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2510466 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 937.53₸ · invest 2 142.24₸
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077040 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2535097 · The Harlequin Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 936.88₸ · invest 2 046.83₸
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2523602 · The Clutch Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 930.70₸ · invest 2 007.82₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2535031 · The Harlequin Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 930.04₸ · invest 2 001.68₸
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2534868 · The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 923.71₸ · invest 2 240.77₸
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2535040 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 921.66₸ · invest 1 997.97₸
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077153 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2521657 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 920.43₸ · invest 2 084.55₸
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2517588 · The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 906.38₸ · invest 2 089.99₸
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2534990 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 897.07₸ · invest 2 056.09₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075044 instead of 0.077088

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build