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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +59.46$

Invest 99.38$

Average return 158.84$

ROI +59.8%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 256.96 $, profit at most −98.12 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

90.01 $

at 10.00

Steam

×1

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

9.37 $

at 9.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.38 $ +59.46 (+59.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

14.12 $

at 4.71

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

20.00 $

at 10.00

Steam

×5

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

46.83 $

at 9.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.95 $ +39.55 (+48.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

14.12 $

at 4.71

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

11.89 $

at 5.95

Steam

×5

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

46.83 $

at 9.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.84 $ +28.48 (+39.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.71 $

at 4.71

Steam

×6

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

60.01 $

at 10.00

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

5.95 $

at 5.95

Steam

×2

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

18.73 $

at 9.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89.39 $ +50.27 (+56.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

209.43 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

177.94 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

47.89 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

119.00 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +37.08 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +53.93 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528249 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 63.02$ · invest 105.52$
sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2528399 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 62.14$ · invest 97.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2518368 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 61.71$ · invest 99.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2523358 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 60.14$ · invest 99.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2528646 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 59.60$ · invest 100.92$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2528172 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 58.90$ · invest 98.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2528810 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 58.65$ · invest 107.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2528520 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 58.63$ · invest 103.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2517416 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 58.35$ · invest 115.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2528145 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 56.79$ · invest 106.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2526843 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 56.77$ · invest 105.16$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build