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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +5 564.21₸

Invest 27 060.33₸

Average return 32 624.54₸

ROI +20.6%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 65 698.85 ₸, profit at most −33 074.31 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

4 749.37 ₸

at 4 749.37

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

4 272.75 ₸

at 2 136.37

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

18 038.21 ₸

at 2 576.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 060.33 ₸ +5 564.21 (+20.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −505 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

9 498.74 ₸

at 4 749.37

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

4 272.75 ₸

at 2 136.37

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

15 461.33 ₸

at 2 576.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 232.82 ₸ +3 566.51 (+12.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 538 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

14 248.11 ₸

at 4 749.37

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

4 272.75 ₸

at 2 136.37

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

12 884.44 ₸

at 2 576.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 405.30 ₸ +1 568.81 (+5.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

15 883.38 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

58 751.00 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

46 817.28 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

31 837.42 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −789.71 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 737.09 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2541351 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 406.47₸ · invest 29 118.30₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build