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The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1.33$

Invest 10.52$

Average return 11.85$

ROI +12.6%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 25.85 $, profit at most −14.00 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3867

1.53 $

at 0.77

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1720

7.81 $

at 1.12

Steam

×1

MP9 | Goo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1720

1.18 $

at 1.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.52 $ +1.33 (+12.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

2.05 $

at 1.02

Steam

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

4.46 $

at 1.12

Steam

×2

MP9 | Goo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

2.36 $

at 1.18

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

2.38 $

at 1.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.25 $ +0.29 (+2.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

1.53 $

at 0.77

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

5.58 $

at 1.12

Steam

×1

MP9 | Goo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

1.18 $

at 1.18

Steam

×2

MP9 | Goo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.66 $

at 1.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.95 $ +0.69 (+6.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 7%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7.75 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

23.51 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12.43 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

12.00 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.130499

13.21 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.56 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2522488 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.41$ · invest 11.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385243 instead of 0.386709; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167227 instead of 0.172045
Craft 2528803 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1.40$ · invest 10.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384430 instead of 0.386709; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164557 instead of 0.172045
Craft 2528475 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 1.37$ · invest 11.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested)
Craft 2528221 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1.36$ · invest 10.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Triarch (Well-Worn) instead of MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.386709; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.172045
Craft 2528568 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1.33$ · invest 10.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gauss (Well-Worn) instead of MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.386709; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.172045
Craft 2521431 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.29$ · invest 10.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Firefight (Well-Worn) instead of MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.386709; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.172045
Craft 2528859 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 10.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387001 instead of 0.386709; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173003 instead of 0.172045

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build