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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +164.34$

Invest 341.09$

Average return 505.43$

ROI +48.2%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 830.32 $, profit at most −324.90 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −324 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

24.17 $

at 24.17

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

44.51 $

at 11.13

Steam

×5

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

272.41 $

at 54.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 341.09 $ +164.34 (+48.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

20.00 $

at 10.00

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

120.86 $

at 24.17

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

33.38 $

at 11.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 174.24 $ +106.52 (+61.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −230 $

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

72.52 $

at 24.17

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

44.51 $

at 11.13

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

163.45 $

at 54.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 280.47 $ +150.07 (+53.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −183 $

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

96.69 $

at 24.17

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

44.51 $

at 11.13

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

108.96 $

at 54.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 250.16 $ +142.93 (+57.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −136 $

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

120.86 $

at 24.17

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

44.51 $

at 11.13

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

54.48 $

at 54.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 219.85 $ +135.80 (+61.8%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

624.30 $ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

209.43 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

177.94 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +81.93 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +128.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2542011 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 177.24$ · invest 327.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −322 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162397 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.003773 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2539760 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 168.73$ · invest 330.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −320 $ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2518037 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 168.45$ · invest 342.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −333 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2538876 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 167.64$ · invest 367.46$
profit on prices without salesat least −367 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166586 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005048 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2529777 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 166.89$ · invest 333.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −330 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2527665 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 166.87$ · invest 332.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −322 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2540192 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 166.53$ · invest 334.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −330 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2543147 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.93$ · invest 342.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −336 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2532312 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.80$ · invest 343.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −343 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2533720 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.72$ · invest 344.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −345 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2536309 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.34$ · invest 353.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −323 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166311 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004964 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2542974 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.07$ · invest 332.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −329 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167064 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005193 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2531569 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 163.98$ · invest 338.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −332 $ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166942 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005156 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2539223 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 163.92$ · invest 361.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −361 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166942 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005156 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2525652 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 163.91$ · invest 330.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −325 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166311 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004964 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2542537 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 163.84$ · invest 349.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −338 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166674 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005074 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2523136 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 162.22$ · invest 339.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −340 $ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166586 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005048 instead of 0.005223
Craft 2534382 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 161.66$ · invest 370.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −355 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166788 instead of 0.167164; MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005109 instead of 0.005223

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build