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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +159.40₽

Invest 1 165.77₽

Average return 1 325.17₽

ROI +13.7%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 2 834.24 ₽, profit at most −1 509.08 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

39.60 ₽

at 39.60

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

58.91 ₽

at 58.91

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

191.20 ₽

at 95.60

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

876.06 ₽

at 146.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 165.77 ₽ +159.40 (+13.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

39.60 ₽

at 39.60

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

412.37 ₽

at 58.91

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

292.02 ₽

at 146.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 743.99 ₽ +73.08 (+9.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

39.60 ₽

at 39.60

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

191.20 ₽

at 95.60

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1 022.07 ₽

at 146.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 252.87 ₽ +156.98 (+12.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

79.20 ₽

at 39.60

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

294.55 ₽

at 58.91

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

438.03 ₽

at 146.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 811.78 ₽ +89.97 (+11.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 76%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.043676

747.42 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

1 128.34 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 457.42 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

541.67 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

597.62 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

374.72 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

1 902.43 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.051470

682.88 ₽ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.192499

166.66 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 39.60 → 85.54 ₽

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 58.91 → 127.25 ₽

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 191.20 → 422.55 ₽

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 876.06 → 2 198.91 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.102941076

outcomes come out up to 0.043676, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.102941, 0.061764, 0.102941, 0.053529, 0.051470, 0.192499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16.85 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +111.08 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2533030 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 170.99₽ · invest 1 118.17₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162643 instead of 0.161533; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074397 instead of 0.074011
Craft 2522260 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 161.53₽ · invest 1 109.74₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161970 instead of 0.161533; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.074011
Craft 2527676 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 151.76₽ · invest 1 074.81₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164220 instead of 0.161533; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074946 instead of 0.074011
Craft 2527677 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 149.22₽ · invest 957.78₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161603 instead of 0.161533; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074036 instead of 0.074011

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build