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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −1 215.46₽

Invest at least 2 235.39₽

Average return 1 019.92₽

ROI −54.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 2 235.39 ₽, profit at most −1 215.46 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3870

128.84 ₽

at 64.42

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

655.69 ₽

at 93.67

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

129.00 ₽

at 129.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 913.53 ₽ +106.39 (+11.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

429.50 ₽

at 85.90

Steam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

187.34 ₽

at 93.67

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

387.00 ₽

at 129.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 003.84 ₽ +48.19 (+4.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

343.60 ₽

at 85.90

Steam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

187.34 ₽

at 93.67

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

516.00 ₽

at 129.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 046.94 ₽ +21.14 (+2.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 63%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

650.38 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

1 973.34 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

839.63 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Cartel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

1 036.35 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

961.84 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 019.00 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −69.31 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +57.54 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2522488 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 117.98₽ · invest 934.53₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385243 instead of 0.387001; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167227 instead of 0.173003
Craft 2528803 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 117.21₽ · invest 918.25₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384430 instead of 0.387001; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164557 instead of 0.173003
Craft 2528475 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 114.83₽ · invest 969.53₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386709 instead of 0.387001; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172045 instead of 0.173003
Craft 2528221 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 114.32₽ · invest 891.89₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Triarch (Well-Worn) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387001; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.173003
Craft 2528781 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 111.66₽ · invest 883.43₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386709 instead of 0.387001; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172045 instead of 0.173003
Craft 2528568 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 111.35₽ · invest 840.35₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gauss (Well-Worn) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387001; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.173003
Craft 2521431 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 108.58₽ · invest 901.55₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Firefight (Well-Worn) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.387001; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.173003

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build