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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +118 973.52₸

Invest 213 539.31₸

Average return 332 512.82₸

ROI +55.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 522 716.19 ₸, profit at most −190 203.37 ₸

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −156 643.72 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

12 312.67 ₸

at 12 312.67

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

35 832.17 ₸

at 11 944.06

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

165 394.46 ₸

at 27 565.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 213 539.31 ₸ +118 973.52 (+55.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

24 625.35 ₸

at 12 312.67

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

35 832.17 ₸

at 11 944.06

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

137 828.72 ₸

at 27 565.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198 286.24 ₸ +113 856.66 (+57.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

36 938.02 ₸

at 12 312.67

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

35 832.17 ₸

at 11 944.06

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

110 262.97 ₸

at 27 565.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183 033.17 ₸ +108 739.80 (+59.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

49 250.70 ₸

at 12 312.67

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

35 832.17 ₸

at 11 944.06

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

82 697.23 ₸

at 27 565.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 167 780.10 ₸ +103 622.94 (+61.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

61 563.37 ₸

at 12 312.67

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

35 832.17 ₸

at 11 944.06

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

55 131.49 ₸

at 27 565.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 152 527.03 ₸ +98 506.08 (+64.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

624 982.40 ₸ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

107 275.17 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

220 873.26 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

122 248.84 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +106 058.94 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +115 267.15 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2543712 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 128 803.89₸ · invest 214 738.85₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074512 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003948 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2540642 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 124 677.06₸ · invest 204 739.54₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075622 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004919 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2525673 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 123 516.85₸ · invest 211 173.69₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2542032 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 122 179.26₸ · invest 206 216.55₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076797 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.005947 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2519134 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 117 865.39₸ · invest 208 502.47₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079359 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2538207 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 884.74₸ · invest 240 999.41₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074354 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003810 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2541346 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 645.64₸ · invest 207 865.37₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2522270 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 451.19₸ · invest 212 782.37₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080407 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009106 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2530650 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 272.15₸ · invest 206 651.14₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2523150 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 116 227.65₸ · invest 220 552.96₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080062 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008804 instead of 0.007781

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build