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The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1.07$

Invest 5.83$

Average return 6.90$

ROI +18.3%

Chance of profit 63%

With float: invest at least 14.10 $, profit at most −7.20 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

3.67 $

at 0.52

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1.49 $

at 0.74

Steam

×1

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.68 $

at 0.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.83 $ +1.07 (+18.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 7%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8.19 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9.47 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6.49 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115499

8.90 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

5.74 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.88 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.81 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2526867 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 1.07$ · invest 5.90$
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear); Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162658 instead of 0.166685; Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074403 instead of 0.075803
Craft 2529727 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 0.99$ · invest 6.78$
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Last Dive (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear); Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163319 instead of 0.166685; Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074632 instead of 0.075803

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build