to all crafts

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +59 097.93₸

Invest 178 947.90₸

Average return 238 045.84₸

ROI +33.0%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 453 188.28 ₸, profit at most −215 142.45 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −175 293 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

27 070.50 ₸

at 13 535.25

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

151 877.40 ₸

at 18 984.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178 947.90 ₸ +59 097.93 (+33.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −202 563 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

13 535.25 ₸

at 13 535.25

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

151 877.40 ₸

at 18 984.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

38 977.64 ₸

at 38 977.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 204 390.29 ₸ +50 231.76 (+24.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −52 614 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

36 539.43 ₸

at 4 567.43

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

13 535.25 ₸

at 13 535.25

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

18 984.67 ₸

at 18 984.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69 059.36 ₸ +52 952.87 (+76.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −141 378 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

4 567.43 ₸

at 4 567.43

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

40 605.75 ₸

at 13 535.25

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

8 590.59 ₸

at 8 590.59

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

94 923.37 ₸

at 18 984.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 148 687.15 ₸ +56 206.24 (+37.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −68 858 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

31 972.00 ₸

at 4 567.43

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

13 535.25 ₸

at 13 535.25

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

37 969.35 ₸

at 18 984.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83 476.60 ₸ +55 111.85 (+66.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 10%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

226 093.82 ₸ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

397 662.29 ₸ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 474.70 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 028.08 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +38 585.45 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +54 217.80 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2518975 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 72 708.20₸ · invest 88 411.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −88 411 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075131 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2532884 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 59 317.44₸ · invest 174 988.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −174 989 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2541519 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 59 203.32₸ · invest 170 227.94₸
profit on prices without salesat least −170 228 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2535660 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 58 617.60₸ · invest 188 038.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −188 038 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077021 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2527512 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 57 797.89₸ · invest 169 077.21₸
profit on prices without salesat least −159 161 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2534242 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 56 742.86₸ · invest 177 612.05₸
profit on prices without salesat least −168 975 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2523017 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 56 525.54₸ · invest 190 871.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −190 872 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2542464 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 55 090.72₸ · invest 157 413.19₸
profit on prices without salesat least −157 413 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074511 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2525483 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 54 769.15₸ · invest 171 771.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −162 190 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076277 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2540060 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 54 670.47₸ · invest 181 812.04₸
profit on prices without salesat least −181 812 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076715 instead of 0.077310

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build