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The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +819.19₸

Invest 27 772.65₸

Average return 28 591.85₸

ROI +3.0%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 66 729.36 ₸, profit at most −38 137.52 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

16 479.84 ₸

at 2 354.26

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

6 266.09 ₸

at 3 133.04

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

5 026.72 ₸

at 5 026.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 772.65 ₸ +819.19 (+3.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

14 125.58 ₸

at 2 354.26

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

6 266.09 ₸

at 3 133.04

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

10 053.45 ₸

at 5 026.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30 445.11 ₸ +516.39 (+1.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

11 771.32 ₸

at 2 354.26

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

6 266.09 ₸

at 3 133.04

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

15 080.17 ₸

at 5 026.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33 117.57 ₸ +213.64 (+0.7%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

32 538.55 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

27 772.44 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

57 406.75 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 870.44 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −331.00 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2529030 · The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 881.86₸ · invest 25 167.52₸
P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.168399; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2529740 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 847.65₸ · invest 28 731.76₸
M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165050 instead of 0.168399; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075234 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2524800 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 823.37₸ · invest 24 980.62₸
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.168399; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build