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The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1.10$

Invest 7.10$

Average return 8.20$

ROI +15.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 16.85 $, profit at most −8.65 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

3.11 $

at 0.62

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

2.66 $

at 0.66

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

1.33 $

at 1.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.10 $ +1.10 (+15.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

0.62 $

at 0.62

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

3.99 $

at 0.66

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

1.33 $

at 1.33

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

3.33 $

at 1.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.27 $ +0.47 (+5.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

1.87 $

at 0.62

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

3.32 $

at 0.66

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3842

1.33 $

at 1.33

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

1.66 $

at 1.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.19 $ +0.79 (+9.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

3.99 $

at 0.66

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

1.33 $

at 1.33

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

4.99 $

at 1.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.31 $ +0.20 (+2.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue

Field-Tested

float up to 0.154109

6.48 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12.12 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102739

7.03 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143835

17.63 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare

Field-Tested

float up to 0.205479

26.21 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

float up to 0.164383

8.39 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.33 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.93 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2517461 · The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1.19$ · invest 8.15$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)
Craft 2530304 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 1.14$ · invest 6.54$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)
Craft 2530002 · The Fracture Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 1.09$ · invest 7.30$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build