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The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.41$

Invest 4.97$

Average return 7.37$

ROI +48.5%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 12.10 $, profit at most −4.73 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

0.60 $

at 0.30

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

0.61 $

at 0.31

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

3.75 $

at 0.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.97 $ +2.41 (+48.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

0.90 $

at 0.30

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

0.92 $

at 0.31

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

2.50 $

at 0.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.32 $ +2.23 (+51.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1.20 $

at 0.30

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

1.53 $

at 0.31

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.63 $

at 0.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.36 $ +2.37 (+70.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1.06 $

at 0.13

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

0.30 $

at 0.30

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

0.25 $

at 0.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.61 $ +0.01 (+0.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 27%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

9.07 $ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

5.54 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16.51 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Connexion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076595

0.79 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

0.90 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

1.13 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076595

0.86 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

0.91 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.91 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2533017 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 5.43$
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161828 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074114 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2539214 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.37$ · invest 5.59$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165779 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2510810 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.35$ · invest 5.75$
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166552 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075757 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2542966 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.35$ · invest 5.33$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165779 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2522241 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.34$ · invest 5.49$
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161768 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2524247 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.32$ · invest 5.15$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)
Craft 2541674 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.32$ · invest 5.11$
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162691 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074414 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2541312 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.32$ · invest 5.13$
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)
Craft 2535790 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.29$ · invest 6.18$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165779 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2522242 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.28$ · invest 5.49$
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165779 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2524248 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.09$ · invest 5.47$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163383 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074655 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2541675 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.05$ · invest 5.43$
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163620 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074737 instead of 0.075825

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build