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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +150.35₽

Invest 426.53₽

Average return 576.88₽

ROI +35.2%

Chance of profit 93%

With float: invest at least 1 051.30 ₽, profit at most −474.42 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

302.32 ₽

at 37.79

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

71.69 ₽

at 71.69

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

52.52 ₽

at 52.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 426.53 ₽ +150.35 (+35.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

113.37 ₽

at 37.79

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

215.07 ₽

at 71.69

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

103.08 ₽

at 25.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 431.52 ₽ +92.72 (+21.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

37.79 ₽

at 37.79

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

286.76 ₽

at 71.69

Steam

×2

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

42.78 ₽

at 21.39

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

77.31 ₽

at 25.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 444.64 ₽ +62.05 (+14.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

226.74 ₽

at 37.79

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

143.38 ₽

at 71.69

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

21.39 ₽

at 21.39

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

25.77 ₽

at 25.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 417.28 ₽ +142.06 (+34.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 7%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

697.87 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

669.32 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

761.24 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

464.96 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.153999

219.19 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +83.08 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +115.31 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2534960 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 148.20₽ · invest 425.19₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079240 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.008085 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2534869 · The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 146.28₽ · invest 450.30₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075197 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004548 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2530075 · The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 144.68₽ · invest 399.12₽
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075384 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004711 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2518578 · The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 143.62₽ · invest 415.54₽
FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074630 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004051 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2533851 · The Glove Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 143.16₽ · invest 485.53₽
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.003576 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2523603 · The Clutch Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 142.55₽ · invest 407.01₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075384 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004711 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2535081 · The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 142.20₽ · invest 402.10₽
FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075809 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.005082 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2535042 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 141.08₽ · invest 405.18₽
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075434 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004755 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2521659 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 139.62₽ · invest 421.27₽
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079240 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.008085 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2531799 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 139.10₽ · invest 416.95₽
P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075021 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004394 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2518579 · The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 138.04₽ · invest 437.90₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075322 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004657 instead of 0.006631
Craft 2527849 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 137.65₽ · invest 416.47₽
SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079503 instead of 0.077578; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.008315 instead of 0.006631

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build