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The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −546.77₽

Invest at least 1 171.25₽

Average return 624.48₽

ROI −46.7%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 1 171.25 ₽, profit at most −546.77 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

340.11 ₽

at 37.79

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

128.13 ₽

at 128.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 468.24 ₽ +156.24 (+33.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

226.74 ₽

at 37.79

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

71.69 ₽

at 71.69

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

67.59 ₽

at 67.59

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

256.26 ₽

at 128.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 622.28 ₽ +62.29 (+10.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

75.58 ₽

at 37.79

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

286.76 ₽

at 71.69

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

202.77 ₽

at 67.59

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

128.13 ₽

at 128.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 693.24 ₽ +21.38 (+3.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 2%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

697.87 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

669.32 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.042999

722.22 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

555.61 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.067999

2 604.64 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

234.06 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +75.28 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +116.30 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2535052 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 164.01₽ · invest 395.93₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.074018
Craft 2534991 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 163.56₽ · invest 382.08₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076985 instead of 0.074018
Craft 2534910 · The Harlequin Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 161.09₽ · invest 379.28₽
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074202 instead of 0.074018
Craft 2535130 · The Harlequin Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 157.44₽ · invest 408.46₽
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074018
Craft 2518577 · The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 153.23₽ · invest 404.00₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077008 instead of 0.074018
Craft 2522677 · The Chroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 152.00₽ · invest 423.17₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076845 instead of 0.074018

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build