to all crafts

The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −501.63$

Invest at least 1 047.59$

Average return 545.97$

ROI −47.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 047.59 $, profit at most −501.63 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −416 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

80.04 $

at 40.02

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

336.18 $

at 42.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 416.22 $ +129.75 (+31.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −339 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

240.13 $

at 40.02

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

57.05 $

at 19.02

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

42.02 $

at 42.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 339.19 $ +98.13 (+28.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −268 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

89.07 $

at 17.81

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

160.08 $

at 40.02

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

19.02 $

at 19.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 268.17 $ +87.67 (+32.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −462 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

40.02 $

at 40.02

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

336.18 $

at 42.02

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

86.28 $

at 86.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 462.48 $ +110.66 (+23.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −315 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

17.63 $

at 17.63

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

240.13 $

at 40.02

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

57.05 $

at 19.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 314.80 $ +95.36 (+30.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 50%

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

500.46 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

880.22 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

500.16 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

255.78 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +87.84 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +119.89 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2518975 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 160.94$ · invest 195.70$
profit on prices without salesat least −196 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075131 instead of 0.077021
Craft 2532884 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 131.30$ · invest 387.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −387 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077021
Craft 2541519 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 131.05$ · invest 376.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −377 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077310 instead of 0.077021
Craft 2529624 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 130.81$ · invest 396.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −388 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077310 instead of 0.077021
Craft 2527512 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 127.93$ · invest 374.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −352 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077310 instead of 0.077021
Craft 2534242 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 125.60$ · invest 393.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −374 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077021
Craft 2523017 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 125.12$ · invest 422.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −422 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.077021
Craft 2542464 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 121.94$ · invest 348.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −348 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074511 instead of 0.077021
Craft 2525483 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 121.23$ · invest 380.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −359 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076277 instead of 0.077021
Craft 2540060 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 121.01$ · invest 402.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −402 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076715 instead of 0.077021

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build