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The Lake Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +23.76₴

Invest 210.36₴

Average return 234.12₴

ROI +11.3%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 509.18 ₴, profit at most −275.05 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Teardown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

13.29 ₴

at 13.29

Steam

×4

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

59.86 ₴

at 14.97

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

137.21 ₴

at 27.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 210.36 ₴ +23.76 (+11.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Teardown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

13.29 ₴

at 13.29

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

21.00 ₴

at 21.00

Steam

×4

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

59.86 ₴

at 14.97

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

109.77 ₴

at 27.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 203.92 ₴ +7.40 (+3.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

at a loss

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072560

172.93 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

383.19 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.064024

330.29 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.034146

33.19 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Lake Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12.12 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.15 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Lake Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2522815 · The Chroma Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 24.62₴ · invest 228.16₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Teardown (Minimal Wear); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164686 instead of 0.167970; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004469 instead of 0.005469

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Lake Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build