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The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +141 337.16₸

Invest 126 285.08₸

Average return 267 622.25₸

ROI +111.9%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 310 539.91 ₸, profit at most −42 917.67 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −126 285 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

9 082.71 ₸

at 9 082.71

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

87 823.62 ₸

at 10 977.95

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

29 378.76 ₸

at 29 378.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126 285.08 ₸ +141 337.16 (+111.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −111 249 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

76 845.66 ₸

at 10 977.95

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0236

5 025.05 ₸

at 2 512.53

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

29 378.76 ₸

at 29 378.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111 249.47 ₸ +105 970.69 (+95.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −102 784 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

65 867.71 ₸

at 10 977.95

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0233

7 537.58 ₸

at 2 512.53

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

29 378.76 ₸

at 29 378.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102 784.05 ₸ +89 235.08 (+86.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 319 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

54 889.76 ₸

at 10 977.95

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0231

10 050.11 ₸

at 2 512.53

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

29 378.76 ₸

at 29 378.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94 318.62 ₸ +72 499.51 (+76.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −85 853 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

43 911.81 ₸

at 10 977.95

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0229

12 562.64 ₸

at 2 512.53

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

29 378.76 ₸

at 29 378.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85 853.20 ₸ +55 763.90 (+65.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

MAG-7 | Bulldozer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

336 746.77 ₸ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 603.40 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

33 500.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 701.16 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 only The Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +120 778.14 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +136 846.15 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Mirage Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2510923 · The Alpha Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 151 337.70₸ · invest 125 489.94₸
profit on prices without salesat least −124 764 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Rust Coat (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New); UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New): float at most 0.004033 instead of 0.004133; MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.004033 instead of 0.004133
Craft 2515402 · The Baggage Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 145 947.96₸ · invest 128 117.85₸
profit on prices without salesat least −128 118 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | First Class (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New); UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New): float at most 0.003916 instead of 0.004133; MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.003916 instead of 0.004133
Craft 2514209 · The Arms Deal Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 141 641.75₸ · invest 125 305.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −123 180 ₸ rare inputs

SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build