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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +11.90₴

Invest 151.94₴

Average return 163.84₴

ROI +7.8%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 370.06 ₴, profit at most −206.22 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

20.38 ₴

at 10.19

Steam

×7

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

104.76 ₴

at 14.97

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

26.81 ₴

at 26.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 151.94 ₴ +11.90 (+7.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

172.93 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144705

207.25 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.132352

193.47 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.258823

136.86 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Heat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

115.14 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.188235

121.81 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.067058

278.94 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9.67 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.40 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2517726 · The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 13.21₴ · invest 147.36₴
P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162170 instead of 0.167186; Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162170 instead of 0.167186
Craft 2532663 · The Gamma Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 13.18₴ · invest 146.81₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162170 instead of 0.167186; Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162170 instead of 0.167186
Craft 2517727 · The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 12.65₴ · invest 147.36₴
P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163547 instead of 0.167186; Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163547 instead of 0.167186
Craft 2525201 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 11.94₴ · invest 142.29₴
SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162607 instead of 0.167186; Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162607 instead of 0.167186

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build