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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +158.75₴

Invest 328.83₴

Average return 487.59₴

ROI +48.3%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 801.57 ₴, profit at most −313.98 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

164.65 ₴

at 27.44

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

164.18 ₴

at 41.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 328.83 ₴ +158.75 (+48.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

82.33 ₴

at 27.44

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

41.05 ₴

at 41.05

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Necropos

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

366.62 ₴

at 61.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 490.00 ₴ +124.91 (+25.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

109.77 ₴

at 27.44

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

82.09 ₴

at 41.05

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Necropos

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

244.42 ₴

at 61.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 436.28 ₴ +136.19 (+31.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 40%

about break-even

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

383.04 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.057399

383.19 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

330.29 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 386.86 ₴ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

568.26 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 759.27 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

238.65 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

314.75 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +79.99 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +119.78 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2540997 · The Radiant Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 142.31₴ · invest 350.52₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 2522277 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 139.36₴ · invest 316.22₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build