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The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float +43.35$

Invest at least 210.02$

Average return 253.37$

ROI +20.6%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 210.02 $, profit at most +43.35 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −85 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

15.80 $

at 15.80

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

6.84 $

at 6.84

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

62.21 $

at 7.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.85 $ +168.52 (+198.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

31.61 $

at 15.80

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

62.21 $

at 7.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.81 $ +151.24 (+161.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −102 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

47.41 $

at 15.80

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

54.43 $

at 7.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.84 $ +134.90 (+132.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −110 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

63.22 $

at 15.80

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

46.65 $

at 7.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.87 $ +118.56 (+107.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −168 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

94.82 $

at 15.80

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

65.57 $

at 21.86

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

7.78 $

at 7.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 168.17 $ +18.71 (+11.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

105.04 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

496.83 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

110.60 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.251749

300.10 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +147.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +162.51 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2540750 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 179.83$ · invest 88.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −89 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384368 instead of 0.384631; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164353 instead of 0.165217
Craft 2540377 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 174.09$ · invest 72.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −70 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383950 instead of 0.384631; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162981 instead of 0.165217
Craft 2540508 · The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 172.19$ · invest 73.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383628 instead of 0.384631; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161923 instead of 0.165217
Craft 2520867 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 168.70$ · invest 82.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383950 instead of 0.384631; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162981 instead of 0.165217
Craft 2527353 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 168.67$ · invest 75.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −67 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383950 instead of 0.384631; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162981 instead of 0.165217
Craft 2517800 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 168.37$ · invest 89.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −89 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383950 instead of 0.384631; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162981 instead of 0.165217
Craft 2539909 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 167.79$ · invest 75.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −73 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383950 instead of 0.384631; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162981 instead of 0.165217

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build