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The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +5.07$

Invest 13.34$

Average return 18.41$

ROI +38.0%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 31.03 $, profit at most −12.62 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

2.21 $

at 0.74

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Torn

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

2.69 $

at 0.90

Steam

×4

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

8.44 $

at 2.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.34 $ +5.07 (+38.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

0.49 $

at 0.49

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

4.76 $

at 0.60

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

0.75 $

at 0.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.01 $ +2.06 (+34.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.38 $

at 0.60

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1.47 $

at 0.74

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Torn

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.69 $

at 0.90

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.11 $

at 2.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.65 $ +4.59 (+53.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 14%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77.23 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

10.24 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.47 $ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.90 $ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.69 $ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

3.04 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.08 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

6.90 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

6.20 $ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.46 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2521023 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 5.24$ · invest 8.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074040 instead of 0.075026; M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074040 instead of 0.075026
Craft 2541161 · The Recoil Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4.83$ · invest 12.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075853 instead of 0.075026; M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075853 instead of 0.075026
Craft 2524097 · The Clutch Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4.83$ · invest 12.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075853 instead of 0.075026; M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075853 instead of 0.075026
Craft 2541524 · The Revolution Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4.77$ · invest 12.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075988 instead of 0.075026; M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075988 instead of 0.075026
Craft 2518982 · The CS20 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4.72$ · invest 13.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075692 instead of 0.075026; M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075692 instead of 0.075026
Craft 2517941 · The Breakout Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4.71$ · invest 12.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075381 instead of 0.075026; M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075381 instead of 0.075026

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build