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The Phoenix Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +4.88$

Invest 8.83$

Average return 13.71$

ROI +55.3%

Chance of profit 85%

With float: invest at least 21.88 $, profit at most −8.17 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2.21 $

at 0.74

Steam

×7

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6.62 $

at 0.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.83 $ +4.88 (+55.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

0.74 $

at 0.74

Steam

×7

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

6.62 $

at 0.95

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

4.59 $

at 2.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.95 $ +3.37 (+28.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 15%

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

29.01 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

12.61 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

14.00 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11.04 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

13.08 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

6.90 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

6.20 $ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 only The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.46 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2506012 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 6.14$ · invest 9.02$
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074686 instead of 0.074833
Craft 2542765 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 5.82$ · invest 11.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076470 instead of 0.074833

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build