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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +5 194.83₴

Invest 6 345.27₴

Average return 11 540.10₴

ROI +81.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 15 253.33 ₴, profit at most −3 713.23 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 062 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

1 701.87 ₴

at 283.64

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

4 643.40 ₴

at 1 160.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 345.27 ₴ +5 194.83 (+81.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 226 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

283.64 ₴

at 283.64

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

5 804.25 ₴

at 1 160.85

Steam

×4

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

13 351.74 ₴

at 3 337.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 439.64 ₴ +3 635.17 (+18.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 598 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

1 134.58 ₴

at 283.64

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

4 643.40 ₴

at 1 160.85

Steam

×2

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

6 675.87 ₴

at 3 337.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 453.85 ₴ +3 700.13 (+29.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 000.07 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

28 377.94 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.108108

6 799.60 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

598.12 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089053

579.84 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 371.76 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 877.60 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2543775 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 6 188.85₴ · invest 7 531.32₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 720 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074218
Craft 2543804 · The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 6 154.22₴ · invest 8 107.05₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 465 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074218
Craft 2528922 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 6 129.79₴ · invest 7 044.43₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 891 ₴ rare inputs

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074218
Craft 2507656 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 5 883.39₴ · invest 14 250.16₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 670 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074218

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build