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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +751.72₴

Invest 1 643.46₴

Average return 2 395.18₴

ROI +45.7%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 4 039.73 ₴, profit at most −1 644.55 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

128.32 ₴

at 128.32

Steam

×8

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

1 139.21 ₴

at 142.40

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

375.93 ₴

at 375.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 643.46 ₴ +751.72 (+45.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −326 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

996.81 ₴

at 142.40

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

751.87 ₴

at 375.93

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

460.56 ₴

at 460.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 209.23 ₴ +351.64 (+15.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

256.63 ₴

at 128.32

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

854.41 ₴

at 142.40

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

375.93 ₴

at 375.93

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

460.56 ₴

at 460.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 947.53 ₴ +530.50 (+27.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −702 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

256.63 ₴

at 128.32

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

569.60 ₴

at 142.40

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

751.87 ₴

at 375.93

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

921.12 ₴

at 460.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 499.22 ₴ +144.50 (+5.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 799.60 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

598.12 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

579.84 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.033333

3 700.05 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.016666

4 433.16 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.051666

2 702.55 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +481.04 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +667.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2531120 · The Gallery Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 792.08₴ · invest 1 415.45₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163772 instead of 0.162852; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163772 instead of 0.162852
Craft 2538617 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 776.69₴ · invest 1 426.22₴
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161682 instead of 0.162852; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161682 instead of 0.162852
Craft 2539800 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 771.69₴ · invest 1 526.02₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163450 instead of 0.162852; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163450 instead of 0.162852
Craft 2510601 · The Achroma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 747.92₴ · invest 1 520.23₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163737 instead of 0.162852; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163737 instead of 0.162852
Craft 2539822 · The Phoenix Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 719.25₴ · invest 1 552.33₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build