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The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +120.38₴

Invest 259.04₴

Average return 379.42₴

ROI +46.5%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 623.80 ₴, profit at most −244.37 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

51.25 ₴

at 17.08

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

168.96 ₴

at 28.16

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

38.83 ₴

at 38.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 259.04 ₴ +120.38 (+46.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

68.33 ₴

at 17.08

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

13.82 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

140.80 ₴

at 28.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.95 ₴ +115.15 (+51.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

16.47 ₴

at 8.24

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

85.41 ₴

at 17.08

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

11.47 ₴

at 11.47

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

27.64 ₴

at 13.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 140.99 ₴ +73.17 (+51.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

408.17 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

585.49 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

742.97 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

167.36 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

65.62 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

68.70 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

146.35 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

70.70 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +62.58 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +95.16 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2516492 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 149.80₴ · invest 165.26₴
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075275 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2542003 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 149.46₴ · invest 274.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2515144 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 138.18₴ · invest 315.26₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2515145 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 137.08₴ · invest 257.89₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2537121 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 134.56₴ · invest 245.29₴
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2523127 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 134.50₴ · invest 341.40₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2533016 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 134.28₴ · invest 282.03₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2527655 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 133.96₴ · invest 242.33₴
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2510808 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 133.85₴ · invest 301.06₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2510809 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 132.02₴ · invest 221.60₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2530623 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 131.28₴ · invest 248.19₴
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2539751 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 130.94₴ · invest 307.20₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2540184 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 128.77₴ · invest 275.31₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2543135 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 125.66₴ · invest 260.60₴
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2535168 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 124.86₴ · invest 323.11₴
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2543287 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 124.24₴ · invest 276.87₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2540959 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 123.90₴ · invest 221.47₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2543136 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 121.11₴ · invest 167.66₴
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2527656 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 120.53₴ · invest 143.30₴
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075201 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2524246 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 120.06₴ · invest 260.88₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2535169 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 120.04₴ · invest 251.01₴
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2541672 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 117.32₴ · invest 257.93₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075436 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075436 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2539213 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 114.44₴ · invest 251.48₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075273

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build