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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +89.18₴

Invest 666.15₴

Average return 755.32₴

ROI +13.4%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 657.73 ₴, profit at most −902.41 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

15.60 ₴

at 15.60

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

102.52 ₴

at 51.26

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

548.02 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 666.15 ₴ +89.18 (+13.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

31.21 ₴

at 15.60

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

51.26 ₴

at 51.26

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

548.02 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 630.49 ₴ +78.80 (+12.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

31.21 ₴

at 15.60

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

50.70 ₴

at 25.35

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

469.73 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 551.64 ₴ +65.60 (+11.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

62.41 ₴

at 15.60

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

40.91 ₴

at 40.91

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

156.58 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

268.05 ₴

at 89.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 527.95 ₴ +43.26 (+8.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

31.21 ₴

at 15.60

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

40.91 ₴

at 40.91

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

51.26 ₴

at 51.26

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

469.73 ₴

at 78.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 593.11 ₴ +70.16 (+11.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.043676

400.76 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

605.00 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 390.02 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

290.44 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092646

537.98 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

284.80 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.063823

500.26 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092646

245.86 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +60.99 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2542019 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 85.18₴ · invest 667.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165620 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075433 instead of 0.074426
Craft 2542789 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 85.10₴ · invest 693.44₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161781 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074097 instead of 0.074426
Craft 2534389 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 82.57₴ · invest 671.95₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163527 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074705 instead of 0.074426
Craft 2540629 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 82.08₴ · invest 667.16₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Off World (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161781 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074098 instead of 0.074426
Craft 2542790 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 81.70₴ · invest 686.23₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested)
Craft 2531582 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 81.56₴ · invest 667.63₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165620 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075433 instead of 0.074426
Craft 2538883 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 80.78₴ · invest 725.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162172 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074233 instead of 0.074426
Craft 2534390 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 80.67₴ · invest 671.95₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165620 instead of 0.162724; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075433 instead of 0.074426

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build