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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +7 532.61₴

Invest 11 054.32₴

Average return 18 586.93₴

ROI +68.1%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 26 390.25 ₴, profit at most −7 803.32 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 508 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

751.28 ₴

at 250.43

Steam

×6

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

6 965.10 ₴

at 1 160.85

Steam

×1

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

3 337.94 ₴

at 3 337.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 054.32 ₴ +7 532.61 (+68.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 000.07 ₴ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

28 377.94 ₴ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.031486

6 281.93 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.012162

1 699.69 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.008648

1 445.00 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 457.52 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 009.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2515195 · The Ascent Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 6 443.14₴ · invest 14 112.24₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 862 ₴ rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074038; P250 | Splash (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060515 instead of 0.060504
Craft 2538914 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 6 364.10₴ · invest 14 217.30₴
profit on prices without salesat least −13 941 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074038; P250 | Splash (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060515 instead of 0.060504
Craft 2534856 · The Graphic Design Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 6 304.65₴ · invest 15 033.96₴
profit on prices without salesat least −14 320 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074075 instead of 0.074038; P250 | Splash (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060509 instead of 0.060504
Craft 2540707 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 6 297.64₴ · invest 9 415.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 377 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074082 instead of 0.074038; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060510 instead of 0.060504
Craft 2518087 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 6 289.70₴ · invest 9 738.62₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 330 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074082 instead of 0.074038; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060510 instead of 0.060504
Craft 2525726 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 5 914.20₴ · invest 9 572.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 315 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074082 instead of 0.074038; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060510 instead of 0.060504

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build