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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +10 864.84₸

Invest 14 908.61₸

Average return 25 773.45₸

ROI +72.9%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 35 604.86 ₸, profit at most −9 831.41 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

8 079.26 ₸

at 1 154.18

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

5 026.67 ₸

at 2 513.33

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

1 802.68 ₸

at 1 802.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 908.61 ₸ +10 864.84 (+72.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

8 079.26 ₸

at 1 154.18

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2 513.33 ₸

at 2 513.33

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 605.36 ₸

at 1 802.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 197.96 ₸ +9 926.50 (+69.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

931.50 ₸

at 931.50

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5 770.90 ₸

at 1 154.18

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7 210.72 ₸

at 1 802.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 913.13 ₸ +6 913.35 (+49.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 691 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

654.85 ₸

at 654.85

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

2 308.36 ₸

at 1 154.18

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

1 046.50 ₸

at 1 046.50

Steam

×6

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

10 816.08 ₸

at 1 802.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 825.79 ₸ +1 053.77 (+7.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 046.62 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

17 058.44 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

14 502.27 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103529

12 545.20 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074117

10 354.21 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074117

8 134.48 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103529

19 256.11 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 745.08 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 654.15 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528710 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12 040.37₸ · invest 13 610.00₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075085 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.004450 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2541498 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 723.40₸ · invest 13 492.79₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077283 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006373 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2527495 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 625.12₸ · invest 13 672.15₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2532865 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 590.57₸ · invest 14 613.02₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078708 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007619 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2529607 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 540.50₸ · invest 13 854.58₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078871 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007762 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2524072 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 530.10₸ · invest 13 817.93₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078606 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007531 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2540837 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 528.85₸ · invest 15 706.01₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078827 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007723 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2542481 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 11 492.52₸ · invest 14 306.50₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078348 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2542407 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 11 397.36₸ · invest 13 948.27₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2536941 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 394.91₸ · invest 13 800.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078830 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007726 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2541128 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 392.43₸ · invest 13 764.55₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2531369 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 358.53₸ · invest 14 590.58₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078939 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007821 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2518956 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 350.68₸ · invest 14 244.08₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078939 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007821 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2540432 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 280.66₸ · invest 13 791.94₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078179 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007156 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2542505 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 11 209.27₸ · invest 15 079.58₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078842 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007737 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2542579 · The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 11 153.81₸ · invest 15 700.20₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078348 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2541834 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 144.33₸ · invest 14 924.97₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2526512 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 141.79₸ · invest 14 919.64₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079182 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.008034 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2525461 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 141.02₸ · invest 14 186.44₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078179 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007156 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2533564 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 133.26₸ · invest 14 714.94₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079182 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.008034 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2530461 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 090.20₸ · invest 13 991.21₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078998 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007873 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2522070 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 029.71₸ · invest 14 785.60₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2523003 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 027.53₸ · invest 15 370.97₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.006634

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build