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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +224.64$

Invest 173.27$

Average return 397.90$

ROI +129.7%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 438.05 $, profit at most −40.14 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −162 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

13.80 $

at 13.80

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

11.11 $

at 11.11

Steam

×8

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

148.35 $

at 18.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.27 $ +224.64 (+129.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −119 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

69.00 $

at 13.80

Steam

×4

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

74.18 $

at 18.54

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

29.92 $

at 29.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.09 $ +155.82 (+90.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

110.40 $

at 13.80

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

32.10 $

at 32.10

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

29.92 $

at 29.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 172.42 $ +87.52 (+50.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

711.85 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

243.00 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

309.18 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

249.01 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +144.52 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +171.87 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2539278 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 225.90$ · invest 184.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −184 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2535893 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 225.39$ · invest 168.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2533835 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 224.92$ · invest 170.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −170 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2526812 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 222.42$ · invest 170.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2543256 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 221.06$ · invest 172.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −166 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2528962 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 221.01$ · invest 169.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −153 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2532425 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 220.95$ · invest 173.33$
profit on prices without salesat least −173 $ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2521256 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 220.91$ · invest 173.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −168 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162492 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074345 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2542130 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 219.74$ · invest 170.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −165 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166090 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075596 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2540300 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 219.49$ · invest 166.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −162 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2529905 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 219.27$ · invest 166.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −162 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2543078 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 217.48$ · invest 165.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −161 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2531704 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 217.16$ · invest 169.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −164 $ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2527778 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 216.84$ · invest 167.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −157 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2543709 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 212.60$ · invest 171.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −166 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2543793 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 206.24$ · invest 181.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −167 $ rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build