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The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −749.07₽

Invest at least 1 519.91₽

Average return 770.84₽

ROI −49.3%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 1 519.91 ₽, profit at most −749.07 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

472.68 ₽

at 52.52

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

128.13 ₽

at 128.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 600.81 ₽ +170.03 (+28.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

51.54 ₽

at 25.77

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

210.08 ₽

at 52.52

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

512.52 ₽

at 128.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 774.14 ₽ +38.05 (+4.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

77.31 ₽

at 25.77

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

105.04 ₽

at 52.52

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

640.65 ₽

at 128.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 823.00 ₽ +2.98 (+0.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

25.77 ₽

at 25.77

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

367.64 ₽

at 52.52

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

256.26 ₽

at 128.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 649.67 ₽ +134.96 (+20.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

18.69 ₽

at 18.69

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

315.12 ₽

at 52.52

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

384.39 ₽

at 128.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 718.20 ₽ +80.21 (+11.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 2%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

761.24 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

464.96 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 385.65 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.042021

722.22 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076595

555.61 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.065106

2 604.64 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

234.06 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +56.09 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +115.02 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2542004 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 177.80₽ · invest 528.50₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078228 instead of 0.075102
Craft 2537365 · The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 174.88₽ · invest 511.85₽
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074940 instead of 0.075102
Craft 2543605 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 173.60₽ · invest 594.94₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074369 instead of 0.075102
Craft 2531558 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 172.37₽ · invest 539.17₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076727 instead of 0.075102
Craft 2519108 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 168.96₽ · invest 536.57₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.075102
Craft 2523128 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.79₽ · invest 555.74₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078228 instead of 0.075102
Craft 2536556 · The Italy Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.18₽ · invest 528.50₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078405 instead of 0.075102

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build