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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +221.45$

Invest 179.14$

Average return 400.59$

ROI +123.6%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 438.68 $, profit at most −38.09 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −175 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

27.11 $

at 27.11

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

22.23 $

at 11.11

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

129.81 $

at 18.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.14 $ +221.45 (+123.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −181 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

25.48 $

at 12.74

Steam

×6

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

162.63 $

at 27.11

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

22.23 $

at 11.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 210.34 $ +88.37 (+42.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −179 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

38.22 $

at 12.74

Steam

×6

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

162.63 $

at 27.11

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

11.11 $

at 11.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 211.96 $ +72.19 (+34.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −178 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

81.32 $

at 27.11

Steam

×3

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

33.34 $

at 11.11

Steam

×4

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

74.18 $

at 18.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 188.83 $ +182.65 (+96.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −176 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

25.48 $

at 12.74

Steam

×5

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

135.53 $

at 27.11

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

22.23 $

at 11.11

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

18.54 $

at 18.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 201.78 $ +111.48 (+55.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

711.85 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

243.00 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

535.04 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

85.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +142.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +168.97 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2540745 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 229.06$ · invest 159.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −148 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161898 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2533117 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 223.05$ · invest 167.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −162 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162207 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2537267 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 222.17$ · invest 159.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −151 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162410 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074316 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2522362 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 221.93$ · invest 172.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −166 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162466 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074336 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2519204 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 221.74$ · invest 161.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −152 $ rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162131 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2524381 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 220.17$ · invest 161.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −153 $ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162384 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2541806 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 219.63$ · invest 162.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −154 $ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162480 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074340 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2541432 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 219.49$ · invest 161.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −159 $ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162429 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2530728 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 218.93$ · invest 160.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −155 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2543398 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 218.68$ · invest 169.05$
profit on prices without salesat least −161 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2539872 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 218.66$ · invest 165.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −155 $ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161909 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2518112 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 218.38$ · invest 177.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −168 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161909 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2536401 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 215.27$ · invest 188.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2525763 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 213.84$ · invest 165.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2523211 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 212.16$ · invest 174.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −175 $ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build