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The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +137.49$

Invest 167.31$

Average return 304.79$

ROI +82.2%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 413.25 $, profit at most −108.46 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −149 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

38.37 $

at 7.67

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

128.94 $

at 25.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 167.31 $ +137.49 (+82.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −360 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

15.35 $

at 7.67

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

128.94 $

at 25.79

Steam

×3

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

222.46 $

at 74.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 366.74 $ +93.49 (+25.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

666.45 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

630.41 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104054

63.91 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

60.50 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

33.37 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +87.08 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +128.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Winter Offensive Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2543804 · The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 136.72$ · invest 180.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −166 $ rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)
Craft 2528922 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 136.17$ · invest 156.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −153 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)
Craft 2507656 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 130.70$ · invest 316.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −259 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2539838 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 115.40$ · invest 140.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −112 $ rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074218 instead of 0.074357

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build